Impact of Climate Change on the Agriculture Sector in Kenya
Naftaly Mose *
University of Eldoret, Kenya.
Joseph Kinuthia
University of Eldoret, Kenya.
Edwin Kipchirchir
University of Eldoret, Kenya.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
The agricultural sector is both a major source of economic growth and a sector that is negatively impacted by climate change in Kenya. Therefore, this study examines the impact of climate change on the growth of the agricultural sector in Kenya. This study scrutinizes these dynamics in Kenya using the Solow-Swan growth model and annual data from 1988 to 2023. Applying the Phillips-Perron test, Johansen cointegration test, Ordinary Least Squares model, and Granger causality tests, the findings reveal that climate change has a negative impact on the growth of the agricultural sector in Kenya. Granger causality tests reveal one-way causality running from climate change to agricultural output. The study underscores the importance of adapting climate-smart farming practices, diversifying crop selections, and enhancing water management strategies. These approaches can significantly bolster resilience and productivity amidst climate variability.
Keywords: Climate change, temperature, agriculture output, Kenya